Posts Tagged denver broncos

HAPPY THANKSGIVING PICKS

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A sincere thanks to everyone who has taken the time to read our rants and raves this season. We hope you’ve enjoyed our love of the sport and our often times beer-induced outrage/giddiness/sarcasm over the most hallowed of all athletic endeavors: American-Style Football.

GREEN BAY at DETROIT: Poor Lions fans. As rumors swirl that commish Roger Goodell is hatching plans to pull the plug on the Lions’ Thanksgiving tradition because of the eternal ineptitude of this franchise, the teams’ only watchable players both are forced to sit because of injury.

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You now have permission to consume.

If Matt Stafford and Cal Johnson were able to go today, I think Detroit may have a shot at winning this game, particularly with the Packers’ DE/LB Aaron Kampman and corner Al Harris being put down for the rest of the year this past week. Alas, as it stands with familiar Green Bay foe Daunte Culpepper at the helm, the Pack’s Aaron Rodgers should be able to outscore the Lions’ offense by himself. No chance, Detroit. Better luck next Thanksgiving, if there is indeed one for you. Packers 31, Lions 13.

(UPDATE: Stafford and Johnson are actually both starting today, and it’s a fairly courageous effort. Culpepper is pissed. Lions still lose though, but I am posting a mid-first-quarter revised score prediction: Pack 31, Lions 21)

OAKLAND at DALLAS: Someone in the NFL’s Scheduling Department should have to answer for this game. I know I’m an NFC North homer, but I find the Lions-Packers game significantly more titillating than this one, and that’s saying quite a bit, because Lions-Packers has a pretty low level of titillation going for it. I just don’t see how the league planned on marketing this game when they decided to schedule it in the off-season. Insert cliched turkey-induced sleeping joke here. Cowboys 24, Raiders 12.

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This looks much more appetizing than Raiders-Cowboys.

NY GIANTS at DENVER: At Week 5, this looked like a premier matchup, and at Week 12, it looks like I could find something else to occupy my time with. Denver’s last win was October 19th, and what a flop it’s been since – as of the evening of the Broncos’ last victory, they had beaten San Diego, New England and Dallas in three consecutive games and looked every bit of legitimate. Six weeks later, it doesn’t look too promising after 4 straight losses. New York won its first game in 42 days last week against Atlanta. Blecch.

What makes this one really tough to pick is that these two teams are mirror opposites. Denver has maintained it’s defensive relevance and the Giants have done the same on offense (both ranked 7th overall). But the Bronco offense and the Giant defense have likewise tumbled to 25th and 24th respectively, so what are we to think?
Don’t know, honestly. I’ll take good offense and bad defense over bad offense and good defense – New York Giants 27, Denver 17.

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I wish the Happiest of Thanksgivings to everyone out there, and I want to send a special wish to my dear friend Charlie, whose loved one is resting comfortably after a successful emergency heart surgery yesterday. It is with a lump in my throat that I say that there is much to be thankful for today. Peace and Love to all.

contact email: nick.thomas@flyingpigskin.com

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CUTLER vs. ORTON: CHICAGO GOT SWINDLED

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Sooo, Chicago’s Jay Cutler signed a 2-year contract extension today, loaded with $30 million in new money and $20 million guaranteed.  This seems like an appropriate time to analyze how Cutler stacks up with his trade-bait counterpart in Denver, Kyle Orton.

 

Full disclosure, I fully admit bias – I’ll give you my Bears tickets if you can find one person who says I was on board with the trade back in April.  I knew Cutler could play, and I also knew I’d hated him since college.  I knew there was a reason that a lot of other pros just didn’t like him.  It wasn’t just limited to San Diego where Cutler was strongly disliked.

 

Jay Cutler.  online photo, no source available

Jay Cutler: “I’m warning you, I’m pretty much a total pr*ck”

 

I could go on, but it’s pointless.  He’s the Bears’ QB and I’ve got to root for a guy I don’t like, it’s that simple.

 

Who I did like before the trade was Kyle Orton.  I liked rooting for him, even though his numbers weren’t top-shelf.  I thought that when Orton was given a set of options in a situation, chances were that he was going to make the right decision.

 

It’s how he turned the Bears’ doomed 2005 season into a playoff run his rookie year.  Lest ye Bears fans hath forgotten that year, starter Rex Grossman broke his ankle in the 2nd preseason game in St. Louis.  Grossman’s backup, Chad Hutchinson, played so terribly in the next two preseason games that he was cut prior to week one.  That left the Bears no choice but to turn to the 4th-round rookie from Purdue, Kyle Orton – who, after starting 2-3 (only a game worse than the Bears are today), he engineered an 8-game winning streak, before being thanklessly benched at halftime of a home game against Atlanta in December, a game he surely could have won if he’d made it past halftime.

 

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Kyle Orton, wondering why he got the boot twice in Chicago with a 21-12 record.

 

But Lovie Smith and GM Jerry Angelo saw an opportunity to showcase their QB with a big arm, who they’d saved a roster spot for all year instead of putting him on injured reserve.  Instead of rewarding Orton for saving their season and their asses, they shoved a clipboard in his hands and put in Rex, who played in more regular-season game and then got pounded in the playoffs by the Carolina Panthers.  It squandered the home-field advantage and the 11-5 record that the rookie built for him.

 

Angelo and Smith decided that it was time to ditch Kyle again after the 2008 season, trading Orton, 2 first-round picks and a third rounder to Denver for the big-guns Cutler.  It’s what Chicago fans wanted.  There were no vigils for Kyle Orton; Chicago couldn’t wait to embrace it’s new melo-drama QB.

 

It just so happens that the Bears signed Cutler to this extension after 5 games, which is ironic, when you look at the last time that Chicago had a legit offense, even though I still hesitate to even use that word now. The last time would be the first 5 games of 2006, before that fateful night in Arizona.  Before the Monday Night Miracle performed by the Chicago defense in Week 6, the Grossman-led offense was unstoppable.  Grossman was never the same after that night (0 TD, 4 INT), and hasn’t matched that stretch since.  Here’s some numbers to crunch:

 

KYLE ORTON 2009

6-0 record, 100.1 passer rating, 244 yards a game and 9 TD’s with 1 INT.

 


JAY CUTLER 2009

3-2 record, 86.9 passer rating, 240 yards a game and 10 TD’s with 7 INT’s.

 


REX GROSSMAN 2006 (through first 5 games)

5-0 record, 102.6 passer rating, 248 yards a game and 10 TD’s with 3 INT’s.

 

Can you imagine if Grossman was signed to an extension after Week 5?  Me neither.  Thank the Good Lord.

 


 

My point is that as it stands right now, the Bears got grifted in the trade for Cutler.  While Denver uses Chicago’s surprisingly high 1st round draft pick next season and the Bears are left with huge holes on the offensive line and linebacking unit, Josh McDaniels will laugh as he solidifies his squad for years to come with multiple 1st-round selections.

 


To their credit, the Bears got to eat up much of the guaranteed value of the deal with the cap space they have available this season, so it is a mutually beneficial deal for both parties.  But the real motivation behind the signing was that Angelo wasn’t going to give up what he traded for Cutler and let him reach free agency, where he’d either have to overpay him or let him go after two years, which isn’t an option.

 


The fact that Cutler even complied scares me.  I’ve seen enough Bears play their asses off until they get their first big contract, then hit the brakes in just about every way imaginable.  I do believe in Cutler’s competitiveness, but can he find that fire after pocketing a $12 Million signing bonus?  Was he too easily swayed into getting his value now instead of waiting until after the season, when the true sociopathic narcissist would assume that they had been brilliant and worth more?

 


Denver got a cerebral team guy who doesn’t have Cutler’s cannon or mobility (or ego), but they’re undefeated and Chicago is two games back in their division.  I think the Bears can even with the Vikings before season’s end, but the Broncos don’t look to be slowing down after taking out New England two weeks ago and winning a tough division road game in the 4th quarter in San Diego.

 


 

Meanwhile, Chicago newspaper reporters are one more multiple-interception performance away from baiting Jay Cutler into a public meltdown so they can rip his play and his personality at the same time.  They lost a heartbreaker in Atlanta for the second year in a row and the natives are restless.  The running game is being crucified, and Cutler is next because the defense will ultimately get a pass for Urlacher going down Week 1.

 


If the Bears don’t win in Cincinnati this Sunday, Chicago will turn on Jay Cutler.  This is the town that forced Rex Grossman to the bench a mere two games after he started in the Super Bowl.  Don’t think Cutler and his facial expressions will last long, especially if Orton keeps outplaying him in Denver.

 


Lovie Smith, Jerry Angelo, and offensive coordinator Ron Turner all pretty much have their jobs wrapped up in Cutler’s success, and while I don’t want to see Lovie Smith be let go, he should be if Chicago misses the playoffs.  They all should be.  And then let some other regime come in and try changing Jay’s diapers.

 

contact email: nick.thomas@flyingpigskin.com

 

 

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NFL WEEK 5: DENVER, CINCY GET IT DONE & MINNESOTA IS OVERRATED

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Jared Allen and the Minnesota defense in particular is overrated, but the Denver Broncos are not. The Broncos and the Bengals are officially the surprises of the 2009 season, with each team besting two consecutive opponents considered much better than themselves.

 

But first, I’ll repeat this: the Minnesota Vikings are overrated. Jared Allen is overrated. Adrian Peterson is overrated. The defense as a whole is overrated.

 

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Jared Allen: “I want you to squeal like a pig”

 

Today the Vikings beat down the shockingly bad St. Louis Rams. But they gave up 400 yards of offense to those shockingly bad Rams. And yep, they sacked Aaron Rodgers 8 times last week in an emotional win over Green Bay, but Packer receivers also pulled down 384 yards worth of Aaron Rodgers’ passes.

 

Jared Allen had 4.5 of those 8 sacks, and I believe he has 4 fumble recoveries in the last two games, including one for a touchdown today. No Vikings hater can dispute that Allen plays with relentless effort and is as affective as anyone in the game at going for the ball. He is fast, basically a tight end playing defensive end – he never quits on a play, he is extremely fast on turf, and can make an inexperienced tackle look very foolish.

 

But he’s one-dimensional. Jared Allen is a speed rusher, and that’s it. He has no swim move, no spin move, and he’s too small to bull-rush. But in an NFL devoid of a surplus of quality d-ends, Jared Allen sticks out. Particularly after the high-profile Monday Nighter against the Packers, in which he played a backup Left Tackle for the first half of the game and then a 3rd-string LT for the 2nd half.

 

In week one against the Browns and Joe Thomas, he got handled. He had two tackles today against Alex Barron, who got benched last week at halftime. His fumble recoveries where there and were impactful, but he had little production in terms of pressuring the QB.

 

Adrian Peterson hasn’t broken 100 yards since Week One, and the Vikings are not currently ranked in the top 10 in rushing offenses. That is not what your numbers look like when you have the “best running back in football”.

 

Some people have argued that the Vikings would still be 5-0 without Brett Favre, but I wonder if they’d have won a game without him. In fairness, it’s equally worth pointing out that the Minnesota passing offense is ranked 18th. It will be interesting to look, at the end of the season, and see where exactly the Vikings peaked. I will put my money on Week 5.

 

 

THE OFFICIAL CINDERELLAS

 

Denver and Cincinnati both solidified their statuses as legit with wins over New England and Baltimore, respectively. Imagine if that week-one miracle victory by Denver over the Bengals were played next week instead of to open the season. It would be seen as a hard-fought, clutch game played by two good teams instead of the lucky-bounce crapfest that it was viewed as a month ago.

 

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Broncos QB Kyle Orton in various stages of undress

 

Kyle Orton is starting to get some respect, finally. And also finally, Bill Belichick is losing some of his. He’s 0-2 this season against rookie head coaches. What? The Great Hoodie is being outcoached by these young punks, one of them a former underling and another in his own division? What has the NFL come to?

 

 

BEARS HOMER SECTION: BYE-WEEK EDITION

 

Boy, the Bye Week is looking more and more welcoming by the hour. It looks like Chicago is going to need the extra time to game-plan for Atlanta, who waxed the 49ers today. Then after that is another tough road game in Cincinnati. I hope the Bears got healthier, smarter, and tougher this weekend while they sat on a Caribbean beach somewhere. I thought the first three weeks looked tough, but the next three are looking tougher.

 

 

contact email: nick.thomas@flyingpigskin.com

 

 

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Fantasy Sleepers 2009: Kyle Orton

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Kyle Orton throws at Broncos camp.  Online photo - no source available.

Kyle Orton throws at Broncos camp. Online photo - no source available.

Kyle Orton has the special luxury of being a sleeper pick this year and an underdog to boot.  No one expected much out of him in Chicago and no one expects stellar QB play out of him now, but in Denver now, he has options and a head coach known for making something out of nothing.

Despite an early injury last season, Orton managed to throw for just over 2,900 yards an 18 touchdowns for a Bears offense that was somewhat lacking in the passing game.  This year he adds the likes of Brandon Marshall and Eddie Royal to his arsenal and looks poised to finally eclipse the 3k mark.

With a deep running back corps (Buckhalter, Moreno, Hillis, Jordan, etc, etc), look for the Broncos to play relatively balanced and give Orton the confidence he needs.  He’s not going to be Peyton Manning by any means but expect solid fantasy play (200 pts. in most leagues) and look for him as your number 2 option somewhere between rounds 8 thru 12.  With any luck, under McDaniels watchful eye, he’ll sneak into your number 1 spot halfway thru the season.

Check out our Preseason Fantasy Football 2009 Positional Rankings.

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