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NFL 2009 WEEK 17 PICKS – YTD: 165-83 (67%)

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Ladies and Gentlemen, welcome to the final week of the regular season.  Only 12 teams will continue playing after Sunday. The discarded 20 teams will sulk home with the stink of shame spewing from every pore of their wrecked, broken bodies.  Here, in this world of cyber-judgment, the overpaid hired goons of the NFL will be scoffed at by beer and coffee-fueled geeks like myself. I’ve never once played, coached, scouted or refereed a single down of organized football.  The decisions of professional coaching staffs and management teams will be picked clean in online newspapers, talk radio, and internet messageboards by people whose own personal perceptiveness lies somewhere between laughable and reprehensible.

 

Guidelines such as “judge not lest ye be judged” have no meaning or place here.  The blogosphere will pelt you with stones of sarcasm and indignation. Young adulthoods comprised of unseen effort will be boiled down to a few snarky, clunky sentences. See “CHICAGO at DETROIT” below for an example of this type of frivolously disdainful expression. Then, after the playoffs are a memory and a champ has been determined, those same bloggers suddenly realize they are willing to sever multiple digits from hands or feet just to watch a single serving of meaningful American Rules Football.  

 

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Me and the all other guys who read this

 

While you’re reading our last picks of the 2009 regular season, please keep in mind that I, like everyone in the blogosphere, have no f*cking clue what I’m talking about. And also that all the good angles and have already been bought and sold.

 

MARQUEE

 

NEW ORLEANS at CAROLINA: Finding a clairvoyant soul who placed money on the Buccaneers to beat the Saints last week would be harder than finding a Yeti in the French Quarter, but we all know that someone out there did, and congrats to you if you’re reading. You’re a degenerate gambler.

 

robert meachem.  online photo, no source available

 

Another Saints loss will have a ripple effect on the rest of the NFC playoff picture that is probably too much for my swiss-cheese brain to calculate, but I do know that it will be dizzying if New Orleans can’t handle their division rivals.  If they win, they keep home field, and that’s the only truth I know.  New Orleans gets their act together and goes into the postseason with a statement game over the recent upstarts from Charlotte.  Saints 29, Panthers 20.

 

PHILADELPHIA at DALLAS: It’s rare anymore to see the battle for a division title go down to the final week of the season, but if it was going to happen this year, it had to be in the NFC East.  3 of the 4 teams residing there have each looked capable of taking the crown at various points of the season with the Eagles looking the hottest at the right time.  This is a mammoth game, with division supremacy and first-round byes on the line.

 

I’m taking Philly because this game is in Dallas.  If it were in Philly, I swear to you that I would be picking Dallas. The problem is the magnified glare of the Texas-Football atmosphere is too much for Tony Romo’s fragile tummy.  There’s no way that Romo is able to escape the pressure from his teammates, owner, fans, his whoever girlfriend, or the Eagles defense.  Scorn will be heaped upon the baby-faced Dallas QB before the final gun sounds, and the Cowboys will back into a Wildcard spot – only to back right out of the playoffs in the first round.  Eagles 26, Dallas  11.

 

CINCINNATI at NY JETS:  This game could very well be a fat turd, with Cincy having little reason to give their starters any meaningful gametime.  But a win for the Bengals could prove critical if positioning circumstances arise, and the Jets can clinch a Wildcard spot with a victory.  I’ll take the Jets, who could finish the season with two fraudulent victories against far better opponents.  NYJ 23, Cincinnati 21.

 

GREEN BAY at ARIZONA:  While both teams are locked into playoff slots, and the Packers are ready to take their show on the road for the rest of the year, this will be a hard-fought game for two reasons – 1) the Packers want momentum for the postseason, and 2) Arizona can ensure a 1st-round bye if they win and get help from around the NFC.  Look for all starters to stay in unless this game gets injury-plagued or is a blowout in either direction.  It should make for a very entertaining contest, and I’ll take the Packers to keep their momentum churning forward.  Cheese 42, Redbirds 30.

 

NY GIANTS at MINNESOTA: Both of these squads are at this moment a testament to inconsistency.  New York has been that way for a while, and Minnesota is in the midst of it’s traditional late-season collapse.  But both squads still boast an enormous amount of talent, and if properly harnessed, can beat down any other squad in the NFL.

 

I have two reasons for taking the Giants, and they are that Brad Childress is a moron; and the recent performances on both sides of the Vikings’ line.

 

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“Christ, I’m Brett Favre! Look at all these idiots ever-where!”

 

Two nights ago in Chicago, Minnesota’s offensive and defensive trenches were handled easily by a humble interim cobblestone of Chicago linemen.  Although the Metrodome – what with its frenzied, bandwagon fanbase and obnoxious torture/music/noise – is a very difficult place to travel to, the Giants will prove to be too much for the tattered Purple, and emerge from the poisonous and moldy facility as victors.  Giants 28, Vikings 26.

 

PITTSBURGH at MIAMI:  Amazingly, both of these teams possess playoff pulses.  Miami looks better overall when you glance at these teams’ respective schedules – Pittsburgh owned a 5-game losing streak during which they fell to Kansas City, Oakland, and Cleveland.  Miami has lost to a myriad of quality clubs, with the only real stinker being a loss in Buffalo, which is almost excusable for a team from Florida.  The ‘Fins have battled it out under injuries to key players, and throughout, they’ve remained disciplined and focused. They’re still breathing as a result.

 

For that reason, and because they’re at home, I’m picking the Dolphins to win. But they won’t get the algebraic help they need to reach the postseason.  Miami 22, Pittsburgh 19.

 

DON’T BOTHER

 

These games will feature teams either resting starters or teams already eliminated or both.  Maybe one or two turns out to be worth your bemused interest, but don’t bet on it.  So I’m lazily just giving you guys the scores and maybe a touch of commentary, if I happen to feel the need to keep up appearances:

 

INDY at BUFFALO: Coach Jim Caldwell of the Colts, I’m sorry, but you really blew it.  Tanking against the Jets last week after besting your first 14 opponents cheated your players, fans, and those of us who phucking hate the ‘73 Dolphins, out of an opportunity that you and your team worked intensely and admirably to create.

 

Jim Caldwell.  online photo, no source available
Caldy: “Sorry about that. It seems my testicles ascended back into my body about halfway through the Jets game.”

 

Peyton Manning wasn’t going to get hurt, and even if there was a chance that he was, I’m pretty sure that he and the rest of the team were willing to take that chance in order to keep the streak going.  In short, that was bullshit, and you’re an asshole for doing what you did.  It came off as a cheap power trip, and for that reason I am rooting against you for the rest of the year.  Not because I don’t like the players on this Colts team, but because I hope you get blamed for any and all failure from here on out.  Bills 25, Colts 10.

 

JACKSONVILLE at CLEVELAND: Jags 27, Browns 17.

 

CHICAGO at DETROIT: If any single Bears’ victory has been dissected to exhaustion this season, it was the OT thriller on Monday night vs. Minnesota. Lucky for me, it was my second trip to Chicago to see a game this year.  It would be pointless for me to try to bring anything original to the table to discuss, so I’ll give you a tired and decomposing cliche instead: TOO LITTLE, TOO LATE.  As much fun as I had in Soldier Field two nights ago, and as memorable as the experience was for me and the rest of the fans at the game, it should in no way alter anyone’s perception of management, coaching, execution, or decision-making regarding the ‘09 Chicago F*cking Bears. Bears fans should all be asking why it took four months for this team to play one game as well as advertised.  

 

Why was Devin Aromashodu inactive until about 3 weeks ago?  Wasn’t Cutler begging for his services all season long?  Why did Ron Turner predictably wait until playoff elimination to take some chances with playcalling?  Any Bears fan will agree that if Chicago were still alive for the playoffs, the final TD bomb would never have made it out of Turner.  In fact it’s up for debate if Ron Turner even called the play at all, or if Cutler said screw it, and called it himself.

 

devin aromashodu.  online photo, no source available.
Good speed, good hands, polished routes, runs hard after the catch. Why was Devin Aromashodu on the bench ALL #@&%ING SEASON??

 

Meaningless late-season success in poised, gutsy efforts such as Monday Night’s win are great fun to watch, but they are an indictment of the team’s incompetent performance during the sad little slice of the season that was still relevant.  Bears 24, Lions 7.

 

SAN FRAN at ST. LOUIS: 49ers 19, Rams 2.

 

TENNESSEE at SEATTLE: Titans 30, Seahawks 10.

 

ATLANTA at TAMPA BAY: Coulda been a good one.  Falcons 31, Bucs 14.

 

NEW ENGLAND at HOUSTON: The Texans could still sneak into the playoffs with a win and a sh*tload of help, and while I’ll take them to get the win, they won’t get the assistance: Texans 26, Pats 19.

 

D.C. FRANCHISE at SAN DIEGO: Chargers 24, ‘Sk*ns 18.

 

BALTIMORE at OAKLAND: Ravens clinch a berth with a win over the snippy, scrappy Raiders, who will play a solid game but not have the cojones to face down Baltimore.  Ravens 28, Raiders 23.

 

KANSAS CITY at DENVER: The Broncos have a total of ten scenarios in which they make the playoffs, but they have to win first.  They’ll do that and cross their fingers.  Broncos 24, Chefs 16.

 

That wraps it up, kids.  If your team is finished come Sunday, and you’re doing other activities besides surfing obscure football blogs for alternative content related to your team, I bid you adieu. Know you are always welcome, thanks for reading.  To the rest of you lucky f*ckers still wearing that unwashed jersey you’ve had since 9th grade that’s all faded and worn, best of luck to you in the postseason.  

 

We’re not finished here at FlyingPigskin.com, not by a longshot.  See you soon, and have a wonderful and safe New Year.

 

contact email: nick.thomas@flyingpigskin.com

 

 

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NFL Week 11: The AFC North Implodes and the Bears are Awful

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While all four teams in the AFC North lost today, at least the Ravens can say they lost to a good team. Baltimore fell to Indianapolis, but Cincy lost to Oakland, Pittsburgh lost to Kansas City, and Cleveland lost to the lowly Detroit Lions.

 

The latter game was a barn-burner between two of the NFL’s worst teams, featuring 724 yards passing and 75 points of bottom-feeding offense. Matthew Stafford threw for 5 TD’s, including the game-winner with no time remaining, and perennial punchline Brady Quinn threw for four scores and over 300 yards. And that’s not all.

 

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Matthew Stafford became the NFL’s youngest QB to throw for 5 TD’s in a game, surpassing Dan Marino and Joe Namath by a big margin. Conversely, Cleveland’s Brady Quinn came into Sunday’s game with only 3 career TD’s, which he matched in the first quarter. Over Cleveland’s last 15 games, they had only scored 5 offensive TD’s, and they scored 4 on Sunday, all through the air.

 

The display was punctuated by a dramatic finish for the ages – Detroit’s Stafford tossed up a prayer with no time remaining, and Cleveland giftwrapped a pass-interference penalty in the end zone, giving Detroit the ball at the Browns’ one with no time on the clock. Stafford was creamed on the play that set up the touchdown, injuring his shoulder, and to what extent is still unclear. But Cleveland called a timeout at the end of the play, giving Stafford enough time to gather himself for the final TD pass, which he completed to TE Brandon Pettigrew to ice the game. If you think that game was the only freak occurrence in the Brown’s division, you’d be wrong.

 

Flukes abounded in the Steelers-Chiefs game, where Ben Roethlisberger threw for the 3rd-highest yardage total of his career and three TD’s, but also threw two INT’s and was knocked out of the game in OT with a concussion. Ultimately it was Pittsburgh’s defense that gave up a huge pass play that sealed the game, and Kansas City broke a 10-game home losing streak against the World Champs, who gave up yet another special-teams return TD (the 8th straight game in which that has happened). The teams from Pennsylvania are hard to predict this season.

 

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Following suit, the Cincinnati Bengals lost to Oakland in a game that featured a combined 8 fumbles and 5 lost. Cedric Benson missed the game and was replaced by Bernard Scott, who filled in admirably to the tune of 119 yards on 20 carries. But Cincy’s Andre Caldwell handed the ball and the game to the Raiders when he fumbled a kickoff return inside his own 25 with 33 seconds left in the game. Sebastian Janikowski (first time I’ve typed his name, I have to say it was quite enjoyable) nailed the chip-shot to win the game for Oakland, who has proved to be a pitfall for over-confident teams from the other side of the US.

 

The New York Giants got up off the mat today against Atlanta in another overtime thriller, with Eli Manning turning in arguably his best game of the season (384 yards and three TD’s). New York’s strong start provided quite a landing pad for their freefall in the last month, and the Giants now are still in great position to take the middling, mediocre, mundane NFC East.

 

BEARS HOMER SECTION

 

I went into this game watching for a variety of sequences that would prove several theories I hold about exactly why the Bears have been terrible this season – among those would have been the ratio of press coverage to soft coverage by the Bears’ defense; how many times they ran Matt Forte up the middle out of the I formation, or how many times Don McNabb was able to connect on easy slant routes for more than 5 yards. But it’s way easier to just say that the Bears are terrible.

 

While the Bears played with good effort at times, it is disappointing to repeatedly see a good effort by one unit be completely wasted by the opposite unit. A turnover forced on defense is squandered by the offense. A rare scoring drive by the offense is never reciprocated by a defensive stand that helps build momentum.

 

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On top of that, at would seem that the Chicago offensive game plan for Jay Cutler has been whittled down to two steps:

 

Step 1: Throw a terrible pass, whether it be into heavy coverage or badly overthrowing a wide-open receiver
Step 2: Beg for a flag from the ref

 

That’s it. Fortunately for the Bears, if they plan on employing this particular kind of passing attack for the next decade, they have the best possible QB in the league to do it. On Sunday night vs. the Eagles, Cutler proved especially adept at overthrowing wide-open receivers that should have had TD’s. Cutler was under no pressure on the remarkably overthrown passes, a sure sign that he is more concerned with not throwing picks than he is with making completions. And he’s already drawn tens of thousands of dollars in fines for jawing at referees, so it looks like the Bears are all set for the future!

 

Jay Cutler is a cancer to a coaching staff. He got Mike Shannahan fired from Denver, and he’s about to get Lovie Smith fired too. He seems to be able to convince a front office that he isn’t the problem, and that the coaching staff and other personnel is. Shannahan won two Super Bowls in Denver before Cutler came along and got him canned. How long will Smith’s Super Bowl loss carry him with this front office (probably a while, actually, says Smith’s $10M buyout clause)?

 

Fact of the matter is that Jay Cutler, like the QB that took Chicago to the big game in 2006, can thrive if given ideal conditions. But to expect Cutler to lift a team out of mediocrity is expecting too much. If you know Cutler, you know that isn’t possible.

 

Likewise, Lovie Smith’s defense, predicated on not giving up the big play and creating turnovers/QB pressure, isn’t talented enough anymore to play the law of averages that says if they sit deep on routes and refuse to give up the home run, they’ll win. It just isn’t that simple. Teams have figured it out. It may require the patience to take what the Bears give you, but little study is required to realize that the Bears will give you a lot. Enough with this. The Bears suck ass, and that’s that.

 

contact email: nick.thomas@flyingpigskin.com

 

 

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NFL WEEK 5: DENVER, CINCY GET IT DONE & MINNESOTA IS OVERRATED

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Jared Allen and the Minnesota defense in particular is overrated, but the Denver Broncos are not. The Broncos and the Bengals are officially the surprises of the 2009 season, with each team besting two consecutive opponents considered much better than themselves.

 

But first, I’ll repeat this: the Minnesota Vikings are overrated. Jared Allen is overrated. Adrian Peterson is overrated. The defense as a whole is overrated.

 

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Jared Allen: “I want you to squeal like a pig”

 

Today the Vikings beat down the shockingly bad St. Louis Rams. But they gave up 400 yards of offense to those shockingly bad Rams. And yep, they sacked Aaron Rodgers 8 times last week in an emotional win over Green Bay, but Packer receivers also pulled down 384 yards worth of Aaron Rodgers’ passes.

 

Jared Allen had 4.5 of those 8 sacks, and I believe he has 4 fumble recoveries in the last two games, including one for a touchdown today. No Vikings hater can dispute that Allen plays with relentless effort and is as affective as anyone in the game at going for the ball. He is fast, basically a tight end playing defensive end – he never quits on a play, he is extremely fast on turf, and can make an inexperienced tackle look very foolish.

 

But he’s one-dimensional. Jared Allen is a speed rusher, and that’s it. He has no swim move, no spin move, and he’s too small to bull-rush. But in an NFL devoid of a surplus of quality d-ends, Jared Allen sticks out. Particularly after the high-profile Monday Nighter against the Packers, in which he played a backup Left Tackle for the first half of the game and then a 3rd-string LT for the 2nd half.

 

In week one against the Browns and Joe Thomas, he got handled. He had two tackles today against Alex Barron, who got benched last week at halftime. His fumble recoveries where there and were impactful, but he had little production in terms of pressuring the QB.

 

Adrian Peterson hasn’t broken 100 yards since Week One, and the Vikings are not currently ranked in the top 10 in rushing offenses. That is not what your numbers look like when you have the “best running back in football”.

 

Some people have argued that the Vikings would still be 5-0 without Brett Favre, but I wonder if they’d have won a game without him. In fairness, it’s equally worth pointing out that the Minnesota passing offense is ranked 18th. It will be interesting to look, at the end of the season, and see where exactly the Vikings peaked. I will put my money on Week 5.

 

 

THE OFFICIAL CINDERELLAS

 

Denver and Cincinnati both solidified their statuses as legit with wins over New England and Baltimore, respectively. Imagine if that week-one miracle victory by Denver over the Bengals were played next week instead of to open the season. It would be seen as a hard-fought, clutch game played by two good teams instead of the lucky-bounce crapfest that it was viewed as a month ago.

 

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Broncos QB Kyle Orton in various stages of undress

 

Kyle Orton is starting to get some respect, finally. And also finally, Bill Belichick is losing some of his. He’s 0-2 this season against rookie head coaches. What? The Great Hoodie is being outcoached by these young punks, one of them a former underling and another in his own division? What has the NFL come to?

 

 

BEARS HOMER SECTION: BYE-WEEK EDITION

 

Boy, the Bye Week is looking more and more welcoming by the hour. It looks like Chicago is going to need the extra time to game-plan for Atlanta, who waxed the 49ers today. Then after that is another tough road game in Cincinnati. I hope the Bears got healthier, smarter, and tougher this weekend while they sat on a Caribbean beach somewhere. I thought the first three weeks looked tough, but the next three are looking tougher.

 

 

contact email: nick.thomas@flyingpigskin.com

 

 

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NFL WEEK 3: DRAMA, DOMINANCE, and IMPOTENCE

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After a dramatic Sunday afternoon, things are starting to become a little clearer around the NFL, aren’t they?  There will be fallacies and misconceptions all year, but the truths are starting to become apparent.  But like many NFL players, some truths come with baggage.

For instance, Cincinnati is proving that virtually everyone has slept on them thus far – but now that they have everyone’s attention, can they keep up these nail-biting victories?  No one’s going to be overlooking them anymore, and despite impressive wins the last two weeks in Green Bay and at home vs. the Steelers, losing to the Bengals doesn’t sit well with any contending team’s fanbase.  Look for their opponents to step it up much harder in the coming weeks, and it remains to be seen if Cincy can step it up along with them.

Mark Sanchez and Rex Ryan have the Jets playing passionate, confident football. It is plays like Sanchez’s shoulder-dropping, safety-drilling TD run versus Tennessee that makes your team want to pile-drive someone for you.  But perhaps overlooked was Sanchez’s play-action fake on the go-ahead TD pass in the 3rd quarter that shows why he’s packing solid brass.  He almost over-sold the fake handoff by crouching low with the ball in his gut and his back to the line of scrimmage.  It was a thing of beauty, and he showed his poise by not missing on the subsequent easy throw to his target, a mistake that could have been forgiven of a rookie QB in his third game of the year.  But will the Jets get too cocky?  And when Sanchez finally does have the inevitable rookie meltdown, how does he rebound?

DOMINATION vs. IMPOTENTCY: Both the Giants and Ravens were playing bottom-feeders in Tampa Bay and Cleveland, but it was no less remarkable just how badly they pounded these guys.

New York held the Bucs to 86 total yards and 5 first downs on their own field, and showed just how badly the Bucs have devolved on defense.  The Bucs tackled like they were accustomed to playing flag football, and the NY runningbacks left piles of bruised and broken bodies in their wake after racking up 256 yards on the ground in a 24-0 shutout.

The Ravens intercepted the Browns 4 times, and twice on the returns played schoolyard games with Cleveland, pitching the ball around with laterals.  You don’t see that very often anymore.  The 80’s Bears teams used to do it all the time – it’s been a while since a defense has been that confident and wants to enjoy itself while embarrassing an opponent.  I have to feel bad for Browns’ fans while watching that.  The Ravens are actually their team.  It has to really sting getting humped like that by your ex, especially when she was the one who broke up with you.

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BEGRUDGING FAVRE RESPECT: Let me be the millionth person to state that “this is why the Vikings brought him here”.  Everything from Favre’s first INT of the season to the jaw-dropping last second TD was vintage Favre.

The pick came on a pass over the middle to a guy about 15 yards away who was draped in defenders.  Favre wound up and threw a high, whistling rocket that had no chance of being caught by any player until it bounced off someone’s now-shattered fingers and into the air.

The unbelievable final score came on an essentially improvised play that belonged in a Wrangler ad, with Favre deftly alluding a rush, stepping up, and launching a pass that traveled 50 yards through the back of the endzone and into the hands of some nobody the Vikings picked up a week before the season started.  It was on a rope, too.  No touch and all velocity, and it counted for what was maybe the most memorable TD of Favre’s career given the circumstances.  As you read this, please picture me typing these words while trying to quell the bile that is creeping into my esophagus.

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Vikings fan being his stereotypical obnoxious self as 49ers fans look on

PLAY OF THE WEEK: Apologies to Favre and his heroics, but your old teammate Donald Driver hauled in what could easily end up being the catch of the year against St. Louis (sorry if the link makes you sit through a commercial.  But hang in there – if you haven’t seen it, it’s worth the 15 second ad, trust me).  This was the kind of catch that make little kids want to play football.  With a corner drawing a flag for mugging him, Driver extends to full length and snatches the 52-yard bomb with his one free hand, pinning it against his helmet and bicep.  A thing of beauty in a weekend full of memorable plays.

BEARS HOMER SECTION: Chicago’s defense gave up seven 3rd-downs against Seattle, including distances of 8, 10, 11 and 19 yards, the longest resulting in Seattle’s first TD of the day on a screen pass.  Seneca Wallace did exactly what I thought he’d do, making the D chase him around all day and creating plays after buying time.  Lovie Smith apparently didn’t remember the lesson taught to him in week 1, when he continued to stack the box and bring heavy blitzes on Seattle’s final drive, which never should have gotten as far as it did, which was inside the Bears’ 30.

Chicago’s offensive line still gave Matt Forte nothing to work with, despite many Seahawks defensive starters sitting out due to injury.  Forte is talented and can do an awful lot if given space, but he’s not an outstanding tailback who can produce without any holes to run through.

Chicago again needed 2 missed field goals to win a game, and won’t keep getting that lucky.  Wow, did I like anything about this game?  Let’s see…Jay Cutler had a 126 qb rating (jerk)…Devin Hester scored the game-winning TD on a slant where the 3rd-string corner got tackled by his own teammate (lucky)…the Bears were in the middle of a conservative, play-for-the-field-goal drive when they scored (pansy)…the Bears are likely down to their 3rd MLB with starter Hunter Hillenmeyer falling victim to the NFL’s rib-injury bug (you gotta be kidding me)…they let former Viking WR Nate Burleson pop off for 9 catches for 109 yards (uggh)…and on 3rd and 1 in the 4th quarter, I saw perhaps the most poorly designed and called running play in football history, with Forte taking the handoff about 47 yards behind his line, and then had to wait for his fullback to come in front of him just to get in his way (it was rightly snuffed for a loss).  Plus those Seattle alternative jerseys may have burned out my retinas, and I know at the very least were visible from space.

Okay fine, one thing I liked was T.J. Houshmandzadeh backing up his tough trash-talk with 4 catches for 35 yards and a fumble that turned into my guy Johnny Knox’s 2nd TD catch of the year.  Man, T.J., maybe that was why the Bears “ain’t even holla at” you when you “was all trollin’ for dat insanely inflated free-agent deal.”  See ya next time, if you don’t get cut by then, Housh-bag.

TJ Housh.  online photo, no source available

T.J. Houshmandzadeh: “Yo, maybe I ain’t shoulda talked all that sh*t this week…”

NOTES THAT SHOULD BE NOTED:

- Philly beat up on Kansas City with a very creative game plan, having virtually all 53 active players taking snaps at some point.  I’m sour on the Wildcat craze, but Philly used it effectively in the redzone, and didn’t miss their starting QB or starting RB one bit.

- Despite missing on the play, Tampa Bay head coach Raheem Morris showed big-time guts in attempting to score a TD on 4th and goal late in the game, instead of just kicking the gimme FG just to avoid a shutout.  There’s no way that even if the Bucs would have scored that they had any chance of winning, but he wanted a TD anyway.  Your team may suck, but that was a tiny slice of dignity.

- RB Fred Taylor had a nice game for New England, as did Randy Moss.  It’s kind of funny how the Patriots are what Oakland always tries to be, which is a cobblestone of aging castoffs and misfits from other teams who don’t want to bother with them anymore.

- The R*dsk*ns continued their slide into irrelevancy, falling to Detroit (as many predicted they would), and losing the $100,000,000.00 DT Albert Haynesworth along the way.  QB Jason Campbell actually had a pretty good game, but Clinton Portis is the gas in this vehicle, and his 60-some yards weren’t enough octane.  Too bad, so sad…

- I wonder, if just for a second, if Brett Favre’s last-minute, movie-worthy touchdown would somehow have an effect on Adrian Peterson’s ego.  The guy clearly doesn’t have much of one, really, but a guy who beats himself up as bad as he does after not finishing a run just perfect obviously wants the attention.  Don’t think he doesn’t realize the TV cameras are on him when he lays on the ground for a couple beats after getting tripped up just before breaking a long one.  Word of advice (as if Adrian bleeping Peterson reads my stuff) – just get up, man.  The disappointment in yourself may be genuine, but it’s getting annoying, and slowly chipping away from your good-guy image.  It comes off as selfish.  That being said, I do think that if Favre’s bright star somehow stands to diminish Peterson’s, AP’s got no problem taking out the frustration on his opponents.  Hmm.  Damn it, my team still has to play him twice.

Contact email: nick.thomas@flyingpigskin.com

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AFC North 2009 Projections

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The AFC North division gave us the 2008 AFC Championship.  If you don’t immediately recall the game, then I highly suggest watching this NFL.com video of the highlights.  The Steelers and the Ravens met for the 3rd time of the season and pummeled each other in a vicious game that was one of the most rewarding in recent memory.  If you live in Ohio however, it’s tough being an NFL fan these days:

 

Pittsburgh: 12-4

Baltimore: 11-5

Cleveland and Cincinnati : 5-11

 

 

THE GOOD – Pittsburgh Steelers

 

What negative statements can you make about a Super Bowl winner?  Hard to find one; you’ll have to go off the field to get it.  But Ben Roethlisberger’s mysterious Achilles injury carries the weight of the season on it.  Without his light-on-stats leadership, the Steelers are still a decent offense with a very good defense.  But they wouldn’t come close to a repeat if the injury keeps Big Ben hobbled or off the field completely in 2009 (my projection is based on his coming back healthy by Week 1, which looks doubtful).

Santonio Holmes.  online photo, no source available

 

But there will still be reasons for optimism in Pittsburgh even if the Steelers fall short of defending their championship:  1st round pick Evander Hood (DT/Missouri) is looking like he’ll fit in just fine; Mike Tomlin has the respect to be yet another prolific Steeler head coach; RB’s Rashard Mendenhall and Willie Parker will compete for yards; and despite the injury, Big Ben is still a young, capable, and ready to lead quarterback.  Hopefully soon he has a full off-season that doesn’t have some serious, awful distraction/lawsuit/horrific accident in it.  

 

THE BAD – Baltimore Ravens

Ed Reed.  online photo, no source available

 

Ed Reed and Ray Lewis are bad MF’s.  

 

The above statement deserves it’s own paragraph, which is why it got one.  And even though Bart Scott (bad in his own right) left the team to follow coach Rex Ryan to the New York Jets, there shouldn’t be too much concern – Terrell Suggs is still wearing that ambiguous Ravens shield on his jersey too, and he’s listed third on Baltimore’s Bad MF list.

 

You’ll notice that I put Ed Reed’s name first in that opening sentence and here’s why: Ed Reed had five (5) games last season in which he had two interceptions.  One game included a pick that was returned 107 yards for a touchdown.  One game was in the playoffs, on the road.  All five occurred Week 12 and later.

Ed Reed, Terrell Suggs and Ray Lewis.  online photo, no source available

 

Without having known a single stat about Ed Reed before looking them up for this post, I was already under the impression that he was an excellent safety, maybe the best in the league and he would probably stand up against one of my favorites, Mike Brown.  Ed Reed’s stats literally made me feel ashamed -  for all of Brown’s memorable heroics, he’s never been healthy enough to be this influential or put up these kinds of numbers.  Ed Reed has 43 career interceptions in 8 NFL seasons. Mike Brown has 17 in 10.     

 

Now, Rod Woodson has 71 career picks in nine years and deserves top billing, but Ed Reed, based on 2008 alone, deserves to be in the conversation for Best Safety Ever.  His 41 tackles last year won’t do much for you, but less contact also keeps him on the field while playing one of the most injury-prone positions in sports.   And look at who was playing in front of him.  (clears throat)  

Ray Lewis.  online photo, no source available
 

Yep, Ray Lewis and Co. will keep Baltimore relevant and watchable no matter what the growing pains of 2nd-year QB Joe Flacco may entail.  There is intense competition between running backs on this team, with Willis McGahee, Le’Ron McClain and Ray Rice all wanting carries.  I think I may have just made the Ravens my 2nd team this year.   

 

 

THE UGLY – Cleveland & Cincinnati

 

Eric Mangini’s first season as Cleveland’s head coach should give the Browns some fresh air, but the team that was already 4-12 last year has now lost a few of their key starters: TE Kellen Winslow was traded to Tampa Bay, WR Donte Stallworth will sit on suspension all season, and starting LB’s Andra Davis and Willie McGinest have each gone their separate ways.  I suppose this is good for house-cleaning but it can’t good to build on, although in fairness Donte Stallworth was garbage anyway (17 catches, 170 yds, 1 TD in 2008). 


Donte Stallworth.  no source available, online photo 

 

The Browns used two of their three second-round picks on big wideouts Brian Robiskie and Mohamed Massaquoi, but neither Brady Quinn nor Derek Anderson have looked capable of allowing those rookies to have an impact this year.  Rookie center Alex Mack (21st overall) is expected to log lots of playing time, if not start as a rookie.  Josh Cribbs will keep Browns fans coming to games with the chance of breaking it every play, but he’s only one man – QB’s Quinn and Anderson posted a combined 66.5 QB rating in 2008.  Although that number wasn’t helped by No. 1 WR Braylon Edwards, who led the league in drops. 

 

Any more than 5 wins this year will probably be considered a success for Mangini and should be.  The man has a lot to prove after being Favre’d in 2008.  I didn’t think he should have been fired, but serious criticism was warranted considering he dumped Chad Pennington (who went on to lead a division rival to a 11-5 turnaround from 1-15) for Brett Favre, who if he was any other quarterback would have been benched for the last 6 games.  But Mangini now understands what the Vikings apparently don’t – you can’t bench Brett Favre.  God won’t let you. 

 

If the Cincinnati Bengals can stay healthy they can win a couple more games than I think, but healthy hasn’t happened in a while.  Carson Palmer is coming off a season-ending elbow injury and has been hampered by a bad ankle.  But if he can stay upright in the pocket he should improve the Bengals by default.  And now that TJ Houshmandzadeh is out of the way and with Cedric Benson running the ball, Chad Ochocinco can flourish, right?  Right? 

 Bengals cheerleaders.  online photo, no source available

Bottom line: Palmer needs to stay healthy or these cheeleaders will be the best thing Cincinnati fields this year (and they’re looking a little tired).  His career rating is just shy of 90, and most teams in the NFL would be lucky to have him.  You trade Carson Palmer for Tom Brady and Palmer would shatter the record books with Randy Moss and the protection that Tom Terrific has.  Meanwhile, Tom Brady in Cincinnati would be exactly what he was in college: a backup. 

 

NEXT UP: NFC EAST

 

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