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NFL 2009 WEEK 17 PICKS – YTD: 165-83 (67%)

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Ladies and Gentlemen, welcome to the final week of the regular season.  Only 12 teams will continue playing after Sunday. The discarded 20 teams will sulk home with the stink of shame spewing from every pore of their wrecked, broken bodies.  Here, in this world of cyber-judgment, the overpaid hired goons of the NFL will be scoffed at by beer and coffee-fueled geeks like myself. I’ve never once played, coached, scouted or refereed a single down of organized football.  The decisions of professional coaching staffs and management teams will be picked clean in online newspapers, talk radio, and internet messageboards by people whose own personal perceptiveness lies somewhere between laughable and reprehensible.

 

Guidelines such as “judge not lest ye be judged” have no meaning or place here.  The blogosphere will pelt you with stones of sarcasm and indignation. Young adulthoods comprised of unseen effort will be boiled down to a few snarky, clunky sentences. See “CHICAGO at DETROIT” below for an example of this type of frivolously disdainful expression. Then, after the playoffs are a memory and a champ has been determined, those same bloggers suddenly realize they are willing to sever multiple digits from hands or feet just to watch a single serving of meaningful American Rules Football.  

 

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Me and the all other guys who read this

 

While you’re reading our last picks of the 2009 regular season, please keep in mind that I, like everyone in the blogosphere, have no f*cking clue what I’m talking about. And also that all the good angles and have already been bought and sold.

 

MARQUEE

 

NEW ORLEANS at CAROLINA: Finding a clairvoyant soul who placed money on the Buccaneers to beat the Saints last week would be harder than finding a Yeti in the French Quarter, but we all know that someone out there did, and congrats to you if you’re reading. You’re a degenerate gambler.

 

robert meachem.  online photo, no source available

 

Another Saints loss will have a ripple effect on the rest of the NFC playoff picture that is probably too much for my swiss-cheese brain to calculate, but I do know that it will be dizzying if New Orleans can’t handle their division rivals.  If they win, they keep home field, and that’s the only truth I know.  New Orleans gets their act together and goes into the postseason with a statement game over the recent upstarts from Charlotte.  Saints 29, Panthers 20.

 

PHILADELPHIA at DALLAS: It’s rare anymore to see the battle for a division title go down to the final week of the season, but if it was going to happen this year, it had to be in the NFC East.  3 of the 4 teams residing there have each looked capable of taking the crown at various points of the season with the Eagles looking the hottest at the right time.  This is a mammoth game, with division supremacy and first-round byes on the line.

 

I’m taking Philly because this game is in Dallas.  If it were in Philly, I swear to you that I would be picking Dallas. The problem is the magnified glare of the Texas-Football atmosphere is too much for Tony Romo’s fragile tummy.  There’s no way that Romo is able to escape the pressure from his teammates, owner, fans, his whoever girlfriend, or the Eagles defense.  Scorn will be heaped upon the baby-faced Dallas QB before the final gun sounds, and the Cowboys will back into a Wildcard spot – only to back right out of the playoffs in the first round.  Eagles 26, Dallas  11.

 

CINCINNATI at NY JETS:  This game could very well be a fat turd, with Cincy having little reason to give their starters any meaningful gametime.  But a win for the Bengals could prove critical if positioning circumstances arise, and the Jets can clinch a Wildcard spot with a victory.  I’ll take the Jets, who could finish the season with two fraudulent victories against far better opponents.  NYJ 23, Cincinnati 21.

 

GREEN BAY at ARIZONA:  While both teams are locked into playoff slots, and the Packers are ready to take their show on the road for the rest of the year, this will be a hard-fought game for two reasons – 1) the Packers want momentum for the postseason, and 2) Arizona can ensure a 1st-round bye if they win and get help from around the NFC.  Look for all starters to stay in unless this game gets injury-plagued or is a blowout in either direction.  It should make for a very entertaining contest, and I’ll take the Packers to keep their momentum churning forward.  Cheese 42, Redbirds 30.

 

NY GIANTS at MINNESOTA: Both of these squads are at this moment a testament to inconsistency.  New York has been that way for a while, and Minnesota is in the midst of it’s traditional late-season collapse.  But both squads still boast an enormous amount of talent, and if properly harnessed, can beat down any other squad in the NFL.

 

I have two reasons for taking the Giants, and they are that Brad Childress is a moron; and the recent performances on both sides of the Vikings’ line.

 

Favre, Childress.  online photo, no source available
“Christ, I’m Brett Favre! Look at all these idiots ever-where!”

 

Two nights ago in Chicago, Minnesota’s offensive and defensive trenches were handled easily by a humble interim cobblestone of Chicago linemen.  Although the Metrodome – what with its frenzied, bandwagon fanbase and obnoxious torture/music/noise – is a very difficult place to travel to, the Giants will prove to be too much for the tattered Purple, and emerge from the poisonous and moldy facility as victors.  Giants 28, Vikings 26.

 

PITTSBURGH at MIAMI:  Amazingly, both of these teams possess playoff pulses.  Miami looks better overall when you glance at these teams’ respective schedules – Pittsburgh owned a 5-game losing streak during which they fell to Kansas City, Oakland, and Cleveland.  Miami has lost to a myriad of quality clubs, with the only real stinker being a loss in Buffalo, which is almost excusable for a team from Florida.  The ‘Fins have battled it out under injuries to key players, and throughout, they’ve remained disciplined and focused. They’re still breathing as a result.

 

For that reason, and because they’re at home, I’m picking the Dolphins to win. But they won’t get the algebraic help they need to reach the postseason.  Miami 22, Pittsburgh 19.

 

DON’T BOTHER

 

These games will feature teams either resting starters or teams already eliminated or both.  Maybe one or two turns out to be worth your bemused interest, but don’t bet on it.  So I’m lazily just giving you guys the scores and maybe a touch of commentary, if I happen to feel the need to keep up appearances:

 

INDY at BUFFALO: Coach Jim Caldwell of the Colts, I’m sorry, but you really blew it.  Tanking against the Jets last week after besting your first 14 opponents cheated your players, fans, and those of us who phucking hate the ‘73 Dolphins, out of an opportunity that you and your team worked intensely and admirably to create.

 

Jim Caldwell.  online photo, no source available
Caldy: “Sorry about that. It seems my testicles ascended back into my body about halfway through the Jets game.”

 

Peyton Manning wasn’t going to get hurt, and even if there was a chance that he was, I’m pretty sure that he and the rest of the team were willing to take that chance in order to keep the streak going.  In short, that was bullshit, and you’re an asshole for doing what you did.  It came off as a cheap power trip, and for that reason I am rooting against you for the rest of the year.  Not because I don’t like the players on this Colts team, but because I hope you get blamed for any and all failure from here on out.  Bills 25, Colts 10.

 

JACKSONVILLE at CLEVELAND: Jags 27, Browns 17.

 

CHICAGO at DETROIT: If any single Bears’ victory has been dissected to exhaustion this season, it was the OT thriller on Monday night vs. Minnesota. Lucky for me, it was my second trip to Chicago to see a game this year.  It would be pointless for me to try to bring anything original to the table to discuss, so I’ll give you a tired and decomposing cliche instead: TOO LITTLE, TOO LATE.  As much fun as I had in Soldier Field two nights ago, and as memorable as the experience was for me and the rest of the fans at the game, it should in no way alter anyone’s perception of management, coaching, execution, or decision-making regarding the ‘09 Chicago F*cking Bears. Bears fans should all be asking why it took four months for this team to play one game as well as advertised.  

 

Why was Devin Aromashodu inactive until about 3 weeks ago?  Wasn’t Cutler begging for his services all season long?  Why did Ron Turner predictably wait until playoff elimination to take some chances with playcalling?  Any Bears fan will agree that if Chicago were still alive for the playoffs, the final TD bomb would never have made it out of Turner.  In fact it’s up for debate if Ron Turner even called the play at all, or if Cutler said screw it, and called it himself.

 

devin aromashodu.  online photo, no source available.
Good speed, good hands, polished routes, runs hard after the catch. Why was Devin Aromashodu on the bench ALL #@&%ING SEASON??

 

Meaningless late-season success in poised, gutsy efforts such as Monday Night’s win are great fun to watch, but they are an indictment of the team’s incompetent performance during the sad little slice of the season that was still relevant.  Bears 24, Lions 7.

 

SAN FRAN at ST. LOUIS: 49ers 19, Rams 2.

 

TENNESSEE at SEATTLE: Titans 30, Seahawks 10.

 

ATLANTA at TAMPA BAY: Coulda been a good one.  Falcons 31, Bucs 14.

 

NEW ENGLAND at HOUSTON: The Texans could still sneak into the playoffs with a win and a sh*tload of help, and while I’ll take them to get the win, they won’t get the assistance: Texans 26, Pats 19.

 

D.C. FRANCHISE at SAN DIEGO: Chargers 24, ‘Sk*ns 18.

 

BALTIMORE at OAKLAND: Ravens clinch a berth with a win over the snippy, scrappy Raiders, who will play a solid game but not have the cojones to face down Baltimore.  Ravens 28, Raiders 23.

 

KANSAS CITY at DENVER: The Broncos have a total of ten scenarios in which they make the playoffs, but they have to win first.  They’ll do that and cross their fingers.  Broncos 24, Chefs 16.

 

That wraps it up, kids.  If your team is finished come Sunday, and you’re doing other activities besides surfing obscure football blogs for alternative content related to your team, I bid you adieu. Know you are always welcome, thanks for reading.  To the rest of you lucky f*ckers still wearing that unwashed jersey you’ve had since 9th grade that’s all faded and worn, best of luck to you in the postseason.  

 

We’re not finished here at FlyingPigskin.com, not by a longshot.  See you soon, and have a wonderful and safe New Year.

 

contact email: nick.thomas@flyingpigskin.com

 

 

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HAPPY THANKSGIVING PICKS

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A sincere thanks to everyone who has taken the time to read our rants and raves this season. We hope you’ve enjoyed our love of the sport and our often times beer-induced outrage/giddiness/sarcasm over the most hallowed of all athletic endeavors: American-Style Football.

GREEN BAY at DETROIT: Poor Lions fans. As rumors swirl that commish Roger Goodell is hatching plans to pull the plug on the Lions’ Thanksgiving tradition because of the eternal ineptitude of this franchise, the teams’ only watchable players both are forced to sit because of injury.

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You now have permission to consume.

If Matt Stafford and Cal Johnson were able to go today, I think Detroit may have a shot at winning this game, particularly with the Packers’ DE/LB Aaron Kampman and corner Al Harris being put down for the rest of the year this past week. Alas, as it stands with familiar Green Bay foe Daunte Culpepper at the helm, the Pack’s Aaron Rodgers should be able to outscore the Lions’ offense by himself. No chance, Detroit. Better luck next Thanksgiving, if there is indeed one for you. Packers 31, Lions 13.

(UPDATE: Stafford and Johnson are actually both starting today, and it’s a fairly courageous effort. Culpepper is pissed. Lions still lose though, but I am posting a mid-first-quarter revised score prediction: Pack 31, Lions 21)

OAKLAND at DALLAS: Someone in the NFL’s Scheduling Department should have to answer for this game. I know I’m an NFC North homer, but I find the Lions-Packers game significantly more titillating than this one, and that’s saying quite a bit, because Lions-Packers has a pretty low level of titillation going for it. I just don’t see how the league planned on marketing this game when they decided to schedule it in the off-season. Insert cliched turkey-induced sleeping joke here. Cowboys 24, Raiders 12.

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This looks much more appetizing than Raiders-Cowboys.

NY GIANTS at DENVER: At Week 5, this looked like a premier matchup, and at Week 12, it looks like I could find something else to occupy my time with. Denver’s last win was October 19th, and what a flop it’s been since – as of the evening of the Broncos’ last victory, they had beaten San Diego, New England and Dallas in three consecutive games and looked every bit of legitimate. Six weeks later, it doesn’t look too promising after 4 straight losses. New York won its first game in 42 days last week against Atlanta. Blecch.

What makes this one really tough to pick is that these two teams are mirror opposites. Denver has maintained it’s defensive relevance and the Giants have done the same on offense (both ranked 7th overall). But the Bronco offense and the Giant defense have likewise tumbled to 25th and 24th respectively, so what are we to think?
Don’t know, honestly. I’ll take good offense and bad defense over bad offense and good defense – New York Giants 27, Denver 17.

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I wish the Happiest of Thanksgivings to everyone out there, and I want to send a special wish to my dear friend Charlie, whose loved one is resting comfortably after a successful emergency heart surgery yesterday. It is with a lump in my throat that I say that there is much to be thankful for today. Peace and Love to all.

contact email: nick.thomas@flyingpigskin.com

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NFC EAST: 2009 Projections

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If there was a major off-season storyline in the NFL, chances are it took place in the NFC East.  But here’s what really counts (sorry in advance for the long post – there was a lot to cover):

 

New York and Philadelphia: 11-5

Dallas: 10-6

Washington: 7-9

 

THE NEW YORK FOOTBALL GIANTS

On paper, the Giants defended their Super Bowl title admirably in 2008 with a 12-4 record, and improved on both offense and defense by 50 points or more.  But that doesn’t tell the story accurately.  Red-hot through 12 games last year, the Giants’ only loss came to Cleveland in an odd MNF-game in October.  Otherwise they were playing like a champion determined to repeat.  Then came the Plaxico Burress incident.

 

It’s easy to downplay Burress’ impact on the season, as he had led the Giants in receiving yards only twice in the season (weeks 1 & 2), but losing him in late November clearly had a negative effect: after the 9mm discharge and subsequent suspension/PUP listing, New York went 2-3 and lost a home playoff game to rival Philadelphia.  The loss made it 0-2 for quarterback Eli Manning in home playoff games (he’s posted dismal 35.0 and 40.7 QB ratings in home postseason games in his career).  Burress may have underwhelmed in most of 2008, but after he shot himself, an element was definitely missing from the Giants’ offense.

 

 Plaxico Buress.  online photo, no source available

 

Rookie Hakeem Nicks, who had 144 yards and two TD’s in the Giants’ most recent preseason game, looks to replace Burress.  And although the Giants lost one of their two 1000-yd rushers from 2008 in Derrick Ward (signed a FA deal with Tampa Bay), Brandon Jacobs looks ready to carry the load with Ahmad Bradshaw.  Eli Manning signed a huge $97 million contract, which raised a couple eyebrows around the league.  Sure, he slayed the Goliath ’07 Patriots in the Super Bowl, but there’s the afore-mentioned crappy home playoff record, not to mention that New York finished 1-4 last season.    The Giants are hoping that both Manning and WR Mario Manningham (4 catches, 26 yards, 0 TD’s in 2008) both improve their games in 2009.

 

 

THE PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

The two big stories involving the Eagles this off-season were the signing of Mike Vick and the death of defensive coordinator Jim Johnson in July.  Vick will likely have little impact on the 2009 season – by contrast, how the team reacts to Johnson’s death will be far more important to the Eagles’ record.  

 

 Donovan McNabb.  online photo, no source available

Andy Reid wisely promoted long-time assistant Sean McDermott to defensive coordinator, who looks to continue Johnson’s legacy of fierce, well-disguised blitzes and general defensive tenacity.  Personnel-wise, the Philly D suffered an early setback with an ACL injury to MLB Stewart Bradley, the teams’ leading tackler in 2008, and have struggled with the decision of who should replace him.  But if 2008 proved anything, it was the Eagles’ ability to overcome adversity.

 

At week 12 in 2008, the Eagles sat at 5-5-1.  In the previous two weeks, Philly had suffered an embarrassing tie to Cincinnati and followed it with a 36-7 beatdown at the hands of the Ravens.  They looked finished.  But they won 4 of their last 5, and if it hadn’t been for the Cardinals, Philadelphia would have claimed Cinderella status in the ’08 playoffs, winning road games in Minnesota and New York before losing a tough NFC Championship in Arizona, 32-25.  Donovan McNabb played well, throwing 375 yards and 3 TD’s, but Larry Fitzgerald torched the defense to the tune of 9 catches, 152 yards and 3 touchdowns. 

 Fitzy.  online photo, no source available

That made it 4 losses and 1 victory in the conference championship game under Reid and McNabb, overshadowing the fact that the offense had scored a team record 416 points in the regular season under Marty Mornhinweg.  Rookie wideout DeSean Jackson had a solid season and the Eagles followed suit, drafting another 1st-round receiver, Jeremy Maclin out of Missouri.  Look for McNabb to duel it out with Eli Manning for NFC East QB supremacy this year.

 

 

THE DALLAS COWBOYS

Disclaimer:  I don’t like the Cowboys.  Never have.  I celebrate every year in which they extend their streak without a playoff win (13 seasons and counting).  I despise the undue attention they get and the very mention of Jerry Jones’ name puts my teeth on edge.  But that’s why I feel the 10-6 prediction is very accurate and objective.  I tried to find more losses in there, I really did, but I couldn’t.  Maybe in reality they’ll split with Washington instead of sweeping, but I doubt it. 

 

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Tony Romo: “Yeah, I’m crying.”


Booting Terrell Owens from their shiny new locker room should unify this team, and if Roy Williams really is worth a damn then he’ll show it this year.  He may have to wait for a sort-of broken collarbone to heal, but even if it is fractured he should be back by the time the games really start to count.

 

This team took a big step back in 2008 from a 13-3 ‘07 season, but T.O. leaving should be worth a one-win improvement from last year.  Tony Romo dumping Jessica Simpson should provide stability.  The Cowboys are relieved to have gotten the following headlines out of the way before week one:

     -       Jessica Simpson dumped by Tony Romo, reportedly sad

     -       Jessica Simpson puts a hex on the Cowboys via the internets

     -       Jessica Simpson’s lingerie didn’t do it for Tony Romo

     -       Jessica Simpson’s cheerleader outfit didn’t do it for Tony Romo

     -       Jessica Simpson’s partying is what ended the relationship

     -       Jessica Simpson calls her dog a lesbian

 

 T. Romo and J. Simpson.  online photo, no source available

Tony Romo: “Yep, I’ve had about enough.”


However, after Dallas’ season-squashing, week 17 44-6 defeat at the hands of the Eagles, a couple non-Jessica-Simpson storylines have taken place, both involving problems with team buildings: the practice facility collapsed in a storm during the team’s rookie minicamp, injuring an assistant coach; and the Texas-sized video board in the Cowboys’ new stadium has caused some controversy.  Neither story should make impatient Dallas fans forget that the ‘Boys were 1-3 in the last month of 2008. And that Tony Romo is now 5-8 for his career in the month of December.  And that Marion Barber finished the year with a 3.7 per-carry average and fumbled 7 times.  And that that Wade Phillips is still the head coach.  And that Dallas’ last playoff win was in 1996.  The beat goes on, deep in the heart of Texas…

 

THE WASHINGTON D.C. FOOTBALL FRANCHISE

Like division rival New York, Washington started the season fast at 6-2, and withered down the stretch, finishing 2-6 and losing 4 of their last 5 games.  They made headlines by signing free-agent D-tackle Albert Haynesworth to a $100 million deal, and by doing everything they could to alienate starting QB Jason Campbell.  You’d think after attempting to trade for Jay Cutler, and then attempting to trade up in the draft to get SoCal QB Mark Sanchez, Campbell would pout.  But he hasn’t, and has left it up to his performance this season to prove he belongs.  He’ll need more than the 13 TD passes he had in 2008 to do so, but he is a stable, steady guy with competence and upside, and could take a big step this year.  But somehow I have them losing a game more than last year and finishing last at 7-9.

 

 Clinton Portis.  online photo, no source available

Clinton Portis: Eccentric individual 

 

The team went as Clinton Portis went last year – during an 8-week stretch between weeks 4 and 12, Portis ran for 120+ yards six times, and Washington won 5 of them.  But both Portis and the club fizzled after that, with Portis reaching as much as 80 yards in only one game the rest of the way.

 

Perhaps if the team finally decided to change mascots they might have some good karma coming their way.    


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Favorite NFL speedsters of all time . . .

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In the wake of Michael Vick’s signing with the Philadelphia Eagles, there’s been an onslaught of Vick highlight reels and they have been, to say the least, impressive. It’s almost amazing what that man was capable of during the prime of his career.

That string of highlights involving Vick running around opposing defenses had me reminiscing about the good ol’ days and the initial advent of created-players in football video games, players that you created to simply run circles around opposing outside linebackers on sweeps and option plays. Being somewhat of a purest in my video football, however, my created players didn’t make the cut very often or were scaled back to fit the mold of an average athlete with room to improve.

I’ve always loved speed (and unlearned attributes), however, and the recent buzz around Vick has gotten me thinking about some of my favorite NFL speedsters:

Bo Jackson

Bo Jackson was a bad-ass, plain and simple, and had a reel with the best of them.

Darrell Green
Green means go and I will always remember that Darrell Green meant go. He was recorded as running a 4.09 40 time. That’s ridiculous.

Deion Sanders

Deion was “Primetime” and definitely put on a show.

Additional favorites, you may ask?

Willie Gault - The Bears’ quick WR had a gold medal to go with his Super Bowl ring.

Randy Moss – I’ll wager that if you doubt Randy’s quickness, he’s already behind you.

Devin Hester – His rookie season returns put him on the list by themselves.  Anything else is just fodder.

And then there’s always Dickerson, Walker, etc. etc. etc. – The list could go on and on, but these are just a few of my favorite speedsters to sit and watch.

All videos above are from YouTube and though I cannot claim responsibility for them, please enjoy.

Cheers.

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