Posts Tagged donovan mcnabb

NFL WEEK 10: TRUST NO ONE

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Can we trust the Patriots to hold on to a lead anymore? Bill Belichick out-thunk himself with his 4th-and-2 call from his own 28.  The rationale is that he thought his offense had a better shot of picking up 2 yards on 4th down than his defense did of stopping Manning.  Even if they failed to convert the 4th-and-2, it would have the same result as punting, right?  That’s a stretch, and it gave the Colts the ball 29 yards from a touchdown with over 2 minutes to play. There was also a bunch of oddly-burned timeouts sprinkled in there.

 

Indy Colts.  online photo, no source available

 

Failing to convert the 4th-and-2 wasn’t really ever considered, which is in Belichick’s nature and part of what makes him the arrogant cutthroat that he is.  Maybe karma bit him in the ass on this one, and that’s bound to happen.  But if the Patriots’ defense is this unreliable to their head coach, the Pats have problems that will have implications later. 

 

For now, the New England loss caps off what was a terrible week for my record.  Discretion will be necessary from here on out.

 

Denver and Atlanta couldn’t trust backups, after each lost high-performing starters in the 2nd quarter.  When Denver QB Kyle Orton left his game vs. the R*dsk*ns with an ankle injury, he was 11-18 for 193 yards and 2 TD’s.  When Atlanta RB Michael Turner left his game vs. the Panthers with an ankle injury, he had 111 yards on 9 carries.

 

M. Turner.  online photo, no source available

 

Orton’s replacement was Chris Simms, who posted a 7.5 passer rating (as opposed to Orton’s 134.5).  Atlanta was already down counter-puncher Jerious Norwood, so something named Jason Snelling filled in, and did okay.  61 yards and a touchdown, but Atlanta fell apart after the injury and was already getting torched on defense.

 

Dallas couldn’t trust Tony Romo, whose stats aren’t great or awful, but his only INT came after a 14 play, 79-yard drive to the Green Bay 1, where he was picked off by Charles Woodson just short of the goal line to all but seal the loss.  Crappy quarterbacks throw picks in the redzone when the stakes are high and your team is still in the game (ahem…jaycutler).

 

Tony Romo.  online photo, no source available

 

Aaron Rodgers earned some trust after righting the ship against the Cowboys, and even the offensive line got in on the act, scattering 4 sacks against a good Dallas defense.  Green Bay’s own defense swarmed Romo all day, sacking him 5 times and hitting him hard.  It was a fun game to watch considering the score was 3-0 Packers going into the 4th quarter.

 

clay matthews.  online photo, no source available

 

Pittsburgh couldn’t trust their special teams, which gave up a return score for a revolting 7th straight game.  The 96-yarder in the 2nd quarter by the Bengals’ Bernard Scott was the difference in the field-goal fest, which featured virtually no offensive ball movement.  8 kicks went through either set of uprights, and 6 of them were 32 yards or longer.  Cincy’s Cedric Benson and Steeler Troy Polamalu were both knocked out of the game.

 

The Jets couldn’t trust their 4th-ranked defense to keep Jacksonville’s 21st-ranked offense from scoring a field goal to win the game.  Philly couldn’t trust it’s offense, which could only manage 23 points in San Diego despite getting 450 yards and two TD’s on 35 completions from Donovan McNabb.

 

We almost couldn’t trust New Orleans against lowly St. Louis, who fought back in the game against a banged-up Saints defense in the second half.  The Saints’ stable of running backs were able to save the day, but N.O. is hurting right now in the secondary and the Saints’ date with New England in two weeks just started looking a little tougher for Drew Brees & Company, who committed 3 turnovers today.

 

drew brees.  online photo, no source available

 

Tampa bay already didn’t trust its defense, who did set up a potential game-winning TD by picking off Chad Henne on a horrific pass deep in Dolphin territory.  But then that same defense let the same QB march almost 80 yards in just over a minute to win the game with a chip-shot field goal.  Josh Freeman turned in his second solid performance in as many starts, and has Tampa Bay feeling optimistic for the future.

 

And finally, if you can trust anything in the NFL right now, as much as it pains me in a profound and intimate way to say it, you can trust in Brett Favre and the Minnesota Vikings offense. It’s something that I have to come to grips with, and it might as well happen sooner rather than later.  I know they played the Lions today, and I know the final score of 27-10 isn’t even that big of a blowout, but Minnesota made it look effortless.

 

AP looked very healthy and well rested (18 carries for 133, 2 TD) after the bye week, galloping through tackles and cutting with precision.  Acceleration, burst, violence, anger.  Wait until he plays an opponent that matters.

 

adrian peterson.  online photo, no source available

 

Brett Favre made Sydney Rice look like some kind of freak combination of Randy Moss and Jerry Rice, which he isn’t, but he was against Detroit.  This game wasn’t close, ever.  Minnesota left points on the board, which is an issue, but it doesn’t matter.  This team isn’t f—ing around anymore, and Favre will have these bastards ready to play the big games.

 

The Viking pass defense will need to improve, and Antoine Winfield will likely have to be in top form to get past this New Orleans offense in the playoffs, and Jared Allen may have to show up for a game not against Green Bay (1 tackle, 0 sacks on Sunday), but this offense is serious.  Brett Favre is currently projected to finish the season with almost 3900 yards, 32 TD’s and 6 picks.  Brady and Manning might throw for more yards, but at 40, leading a team that was a mess offensively last season to a dominating regular season in 2009, Favre still has to be the favorite to win it.

 

After typing that last sentence, I am going to go drink beer, eat chicken wings, and cry, all at the same time.

 

contact email: nick.thomas@flyingpigskin.com

 

 

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NFC EAST: 2009 Projections

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If there was a major off-season storyline in the NFL, chances are it took place in the NFC East.  But here’s what really counts (sorry in advance for the long post – there was a lot to cover):

 

New York and Philadelphia: 11-5

Dallas: 10-6

Washington: 7-9

 

THE NEW YORK FOOTBALL GIANTS

On paper, the Giants defended their Super Bowl title admirably in 2008 with a 12-4 record, and improved on both offense and defense by 50 points or more.  But that doesn’t tell the story accurately.  Red-hot through 12 games last year, the Giants’ only loss came to Cleveland in an odd MNF-game in October.  Otherwise they were playing like a champion determined to repeat.  Then came the Plaxico Burress incident.

 

It’s easy to downplay Burress’ impact on the season, as he had led the Giants in receiving yards only twice in the season (weeks 1 & 2), but losing him in late November clearly had a negative effect: after the 9mm discharge and subsequent suspension/PUP listing, New York went 2-3 and lost a home playoff game to rival Philadelphia.  The loss made it 0-2 for quarterback Eli Manning in home playoff games (he’s posted dismal 35.0 and 40.7 QB ratings in home postseason games in his career).  Burress may have underwhelmed in most of 2008, but after he shot himself, an element was definitely missing from the Giants’ offense.

 

 Plaxico Buress.  online photo, no source available

 

Rookie Hakeem Nicks, who had 144 yards and two TD’s in the Giants’ most recent preseason game, looks to replace Burress.  And although the Giants lost one of their two 1000-yd rushers from 2008 in Derrick Ward (signed a FA deal with Tampa Bay), Brandon Jacobs looks ready to carry the load with Ahmad Bradshaw.  Eli Manning signed a huge $97 million contract, which raised a couple eyebrows around the league.  Sure, he slayed the Goliath ’07 Patriots in the Super Bowl, but there’s the afore-mentioned crappy home playoff record, not to mention that New York finished 1-4 last season.    The Giants are hoping that both Manning and WR Mario Manningham (4 catches, 26 yards, 0 TD’s in 2008) both improve their games in 2009.

 

 

THE PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

The two big stories involving the Eagles this off-season were the signing of Mike Vick and the death of defensive coordinator Jim Johnson in July.  Vick will likely have little impact on the 2009 season – by contrast, how the team reacts to Johnson’s death will be far more important to the Eagles’ record.  

 

 Donovan McNabb.  online photo, no source available

Andy Reid wisely promoted long-time assistant Sean McDermott to defensive coordinator, who looks to continue Johnson’s legacy of fierce, well-disguised blitzes and general defensive tenacity.  Personnel-wise, the Philly D suffered an early setback with an ACL injury to MLB Stewart Bradley, the teams’ leading tackler in 2008, and have struggled with the decision of who should replace him.  But if 2008 proved anything, it was the Eagles’ ability to overcome adversity.

 

At week 12 in 2008, the Eagles sat at 5-5-1.  In the previous two weeks, Philly had suffered an embarrassing tie to Cincinnati and followed it with a 36-7 beatdown at the hands of the Ravens.  They looked finished.  But they won 4 of their last 5, and if it hadn’t been for the Cardinals, Philadelphia would have claimed Cinderella status in the ’08 playoffs, winning road games in Minnesota and New York before losing a tough NFC Championship in Arizona, 32-25.  Donovan McNabb played well, throwing 375 yards and 3 TD’s, but Larry Fitzgerald torched the defense to the tune of 9 catches, 152 yards and 3 touchdowns. 

 Fitzy.  online photo, no source available

That made it 4 losses and 1 victory in the conference championship game under Reid and McNabb, overshadowing the fact that the offense had scored a team record 416 points in the regular season under Marty Mornhinweg.  Rookie wideout DeSean Jackson had a solid season and the Eagles followed suit, drafting another 1st-round receiver, Jeremy Maclin out of Missouri.  Look for McNabb to duel it out with Eli Manning for NFC East QB supremacy this year.

 

 

THE DALLAS COWBOYS

Disclaimer:  I don’t like the Cowboys.  Never have.  I celebrate every year in which they extend their streak without a playoff win (13 seasons and counting).  I despise the undue attention they get and the very mention of Jerry Jones’ name puts my teeth on edge.  But that’s why I feel the 10-6 prediction is very accurate and objective.  I tried to find more losses in there, I really did, but I couldn’t.  Maybe in reality they’ll split with Washington instead of sweeping, but I doubt it. 

 

Tony Romo Crying Like A Little Bitch.  online photo, no source available

Tony Romo: “Yeah, I’m crying.”


Booting Terrell Owens from their shiny new locker room should unify this team, and if Roy Williams really is worth a damn then he’ll show it this year.  He may have to wait for a sort-of broken collarbone to heal, but even if it is fractured he should be back by the time the games really start to count.

 

This team took a big step back in 2008 from a 13-3 ‘07 season, but T.O. leaving should be worth a one-win improvement from last year.  Tony Romo dumping Jessica Simpson should provide stability.  The Cowboys are relieved to have gotten the following headlines out of the way before week one:

     -       Jessica Simpson dumped by Tony Romo, reportedly sad

     -       Jessica Simpson puts a hex on the Cowboys via the internets

     -       Jessica Simpson’s lingerie didn’t do it for Tony Romo

     -       Jessica Simpson’s cheerleader outfit didn’t do it for Tony Romo

     -       Jessica Simpson’s partying is what ended the relationship

     -       Jessica Simpson calls her dog a lesbian

 

 T. Romo and J. Simpson.  online photo, no source available

Tony Romo: “Yep, I’ve had about enough.”


However, after Dallas’ season-squashing, week 17 44-6 defeat at the hands of the Eagles, a couple non-Jessica-Simpson storylines have taken place, both involving problems with team buildings: the practice facility collapsed in a storm during the team’s rookie minicamp, injuring an assistant coach; and the Texas-sized video board in the Cowboys’ new stadium has caused some controversy.  Neither story should make impatient Dallas fans forget that the ‘Boys were 1-3 in the last month of 2008. And that Tony Romo is now 5-8 for his career in the month of December.  And that Marion Barber finished the year with a 3.7 per-carry average and fumbled 7 times.  And that that Wade Phillips is still the head coach.  And that Dallas’ last playoff win was in 1996.  The beat goes on, deep in the heart of Texas…

 

THE WASHINGTON D.C. FOOTBALL FRANCHISE

Like division rival New York, Washington started the season fast at 6-2, and withered down the stretch, finishing 2-6 and losing 4 of their last 5 games.  They made headlines by signing free-agent D-tackle Albert Haynesworth to a $100 million deal, and by doing everything they could to alienate starting QB Jason Campbell.  You’d think after attempting to trade for Jay Cutler, and then attempting to trade up in the draft to get SoCal QB Mark Sanchez, Campbell would pout.  But he hasn’t, and has left it up to his performance this season to prove he belongs.  He’ll need more than the 13 TD passes he had in 2008 to do so, but he is a stable, steady guy with competence and upside, and could take a big step this year.  But somehow I have them losing a game more than last year and finishing last at 7-9.

 

 Clinton Portis.  online photo, no source available

Clinton Portis: Eccentric individual 

 

The team went as Clinton Portis went last year – during an 8-week stretch between weeks 4 and 12, Portis ran for 120+ yards six times, and Washington won 5 of them.  But both Portis and the club fizzled after that, with Portis reaching as much as 80 yards in only one game the rest of the way.

 

Perhaps if the team finally decided to change mascots they might have some good karma coming their way.    


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