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NFL 2009 WEEK 15 NFL PICKS – YTD: 147-70 (68%)

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A busy pre-holiday week caused me to miss picking Thursday’s game, and to miss all but the last three minutes of the actual contest.  It was a classic, and the Jacksonville Jags need to be recognized for the game they played.  At 7-6, they took on the 4th-ranked Colts defense and came away with the following stats:

 

25 FIRST DOWNS
10-16/3RD DOWN
4-4/RED ZONE
139 RUSH YARDS
ONLY 22 PENALTY YARDS
1 TURNOVER
31 PTS (only the Pats have put up more on Indy, 34 in the 4th-&-2 Game)

 

David Garrard tossed 3 scores with one pick.  The Jags threw everything they had at the Colts and it wasn’t enough.  And it wouldn’t have mattered if the game would have been 120 minutes long, the Colts would have just kept scoring.  I don’t know what team I can pick over Indianapolis or New Orleans, so there’s my Super Bowl prediction.

 

Goin’ out on a reeaal limb there.

 

MARQUEE

 

DALLAS at NEW ORLEANS: A very watchable game for the casual NFL fan, featuring tabloid star power on one side, and actual NFL star power on the other.  There’s no way that Dallas has the cojones to knock off the Saints at home, so I may as well not waste our time here.  New Orleans 27, Dallas 20.

 

CINCINNATI at SAN DIEGO: I want to say that this is pretty much the same game as above, unfortunately.  The Bengals organization is in shock over the death of Chris Henry under bizarre circumstances, and the Chargers will be playing at home on an 8-game win streak.  The Chargers won’t be taking it easy on Cincy, and the Bengals will likely be grateful for that, because it will allow them 3 hours of escape from this past week.

 

Chris Henry.  online photo, no source available.
Late Bengals WR Chris Henry

 

I want to pick the Bengals because I like them, and even though Henry was a troubled individual, he was their troubled individual, and his nature doesn’t make his death any easier for his teammates.  Can’t speak for his family.

 

But San Diego simply is playing at a very high level right now.  I hope this is a quality product, and I gotta take the Chargers.  SD 34, Cincy 27.

 

SAN FRAN at PHILLY: I like this game, and maybe that is wishful thinking.  But I like how the 49ers get turnovers in big bunches.  I’m still picking the Eagles but this will be a good one, I promise.  Philadelphia 25, SF 21.

 

CHICAGO at BALTIMORE:  I know what you’re thinking, but there’s something really compelling about this game too.  It will go one of two ways: either the Bears’ offense completely melts down and Jay Cutler has to be removed from the game; or the Chicago offense will put together it’s best performance of the year, because the Ravens defense is still good enough to sharpen their focus all week.

 

Ray Lewis.  Online photo, no source available.
I nominate Ray Lewis as Bad MF of the decade.

 

I’m guessing that the first scenario is more likely, but it is during this time of the season when a team has been eliminated from contention and the pressure is off – which could mean solid execution by Chicago in all three phases. Baltimore however, is still actually playing for something, which means a lot more.  Ravens 27, Bears 23.

 

MINNESOTA at CAROLINA: This is a trap game for Minnesota if there ever was one.  They had an emotional, convincing victory at home over a good team last week, and now they travel to a natural surface, possible inclement weather at night, against a team perceived to be far inferior.  I would consider this a trap game for any team in the same situation, but given Minnesota’s traditional propensity to drop late-season games, I can’t help but pick the upset.

 

vikings.  online photo, no source available.
I live in the Twin Cities. I’m tired of the Vikings. So here is some alternative visuals.

 

I know that the Vikings are likely to win this game.  If I was putting money on it, I’d say Minnesota wins, and even covers the 9-pt. spread.  But I don’t bet, so I’ll take the Panthers in the Upset Special: Carolina 24, Vikes 21.

 

EH, TAKE IT OR LEAVE IT

 

MIAMI at TENNESSEE: I think this game has a few good highlights in it, but probably also a lot of runs straight up the gut for gains of 3 or less yards.  If you’ve got this game on in your market or if you get all the games, keep checking on this one to see what it’s boiling down to in the 4th.  With all the running, it will probably be a pretty short game.  Titans 26, Dolphins 23.

 

GREEN BAY at PITTSBURGH: The Steelers lost to Cleveland at home, so how can I pick them over a team that I think is one of the best in the league right now?  It’s true that the Packers didn’t leave me that impressed in their win over Chicago last week, but Pittsburgh’s O-Line is so bad that I can’t imagine much going the way of the Steeler offense.  Packers 30, Steelers 14.

 

NEW ENGLAND at BUFFALO: I think that the Patriots have the potential to whip ass in this game, but I don’t think you should care.  Patriots 35, Bills 13.

 

ATLANTA at NY JETS: Both these teams hover precariously around .500, and are still capable of both getting stomped and administering stompings on any weekend.  The Jets, they’re at home: 17-10.

 

NY GIANTS at WASHINGTON:  The ‘Sk*ns are way cooked, and even though the Giants are still barely alive in the playoff hunt, they don’t deserve to be.  I just don’t think they’ve earned it.  And as proof, I’m taking the D.C. Football Franchise to win:  Racial Slurs 24, Giants 16.

 

MISMATCHES

 

I’ll take the favorites to win by the score of 34-9:

 

ARIZONA at DETROIT
HOUSTON at ST. LOUIS
OAKLAND at DENVER

 

FLUSH THIS POO

 

CLEVELAND at KANSAS CITY
TAMPA BAY at SEATTLE

 

I guess I’ll take the home teams, since I have to.  Gross.  HOME 13, AWAY 10 in both of these dreadful and monotonous affairs.

 

Email: nick.thomas@flyingpigskin.com

 

 

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What Happened to College Football in the North?

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Cue the “Old Curmudgeon, Get-Off-My-Lawn” voice.  And not only that, I’m sure that every statement I’m about to make can easily be disputed by actual facts.

When I was growing up, there were a handful of traditional college football powerhouses residing in the Northerly region of the central United States.  It was my understanding that they had been bullies for quite some time.  Nebraska, Colorado, Notre Dame, Ohio State and Michigan consistently fielded top-ranked, if not dominant, football programs that competed for National Championships.

Of these teams, Ohio State is the only one who has been able to stay near the top of the rankings year in and year out, and it is arguable that many times the Buckeyes have been more reputation than substance.  And while the case can be made that the others might be primed to enjoy bounce-back seasons in 2009, I don’t think anyone is expecting any of these teams to compete with the likes of LSU, Florida, Texas, or many other strong Southern schools.  What happened?

Maybe it’s just my clouded memory of the mid-90’s Nebraska Huskers squad that slaughtered the rest of the Big 12, racking up scores in the 70’s and winning by margins of 50 points or more without it even surprising anyone.  Coach Tom Osborne’s recruiting was outstanding: Tommie Frazier, Lawrence Phillips, Ahman Green simply were better than the competition.  In fact, they faced a Miami Hurricanes team in the National Championship and handed their *sses to them in their own stadium.  Nebraska’s perfection of the Option was no match for future NFL superstars Ray Lewis and Warren Sapp.

Tommie Frazier.  online photo, no source available

27 players from the 1995 Championship team went on to at least appear in the NFL.  It’s unfortunate that the unbelievable stupidity of Lawrence Phillips tainted the image of that team, but on the field, he and the rest of the Huskers were as formidable as any college program ever assembled.

Didn’t the annual Colorado-Nebraska game have huge buzz every year in the 90’s?  The Buffaloes had players like Kordell Stewart and Rashaan Salaam (who are now fairly punchline-worthy) give memorable performances and rack up big wins every week.  From 1990 to 1996, Colorado appeared in 5 New Years’ Day bowl games, including 3 against Notre Dame.  But since their 10-3 2001 season, Colorado has ranged from mediocre to awful.

Miracle in Michigan.  online photo, no source available

The Miracle in Michigan


Speaking of Notre Dame, I can’t think of a program that has lost more clout than The Fighting Irish has in the last decade.  From 1988 to 1996, Notre Dame played a game every New Years Day, and won 5 of them.  But the mystique fully wore off after Lou Holtz’s mysterious resignation in ’96, and the program, particularly the succession of coaches, has been a series of blunders and disappointments.

Michigan has perhaps kept some of it’s reputation as a traditional Big-10 powerhouse intact, but one opening-week loss to Appalachian State is enough to unravel the status of the Wolverines for me.  Yep, they’ve appeared in the Rose Bowl 3 times since 2004, but haven’t won it since 1997.  And they’ve continued to get big-time recruits, but again, there still isn’t much comparison to a team like USC or Texas.

funny michigan photo.  online photo, no source available

As I stated in my disclaimer, perhaps my impression of the deterioration of Northern College Football supremacy is more perception than fact, but how can anyone deny that the recent blossom of the typically-Southern “football factory” schools has taken most of the blue-chip recruits in the country and lured them into their programs?  How a team like Boise State draws any recruits is beyond me – must be that blue field.

Programs like Florida and Texas have always been strong, and should be.  But other programs in the same states are now surpassing what used to be big-time football teams to the North, and as a result, a lot of luster and appeal of college football in general has been lost, at least to a schmoe from Iowa like myself. I just can’t get into it anymore because the system seems rigged. And it was probably rigged before, and now the corruption is just spreading southward. Either way, Saturdays are pretty much a yawn for me in the fall, and I don’t see that changing.

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